Népességcsökkenés - Karpat.in.ua

Array ( [count_posts] => 4 [cache_key] => Query_Posts::global::hu::YTo1OntzOjQ6ImxhbmciO3M6MjoiaHUiO3M6NzoiZG9tYWlucyI7YToxOntpOjA7czo0OiJsaWZlIjt9czo2OiJvZmZzZXQiO2k6MDtzOjk6InRheF9xdWVyeSI7YToxOntpOjA7YTozOntzOjg6InRheG9ub215IjtzOjg6InBvc3RfdGFnIjtzOjU6ImZpZWxkIjtzOjI6ImlkIjtzOjU6InRlcm1zIjthOjE6e2k6MDtpOjkyNjkwOTt9fX1zOjExOiJhZnRlckxvY2tlciI7aTowO30= [has_result] => 1 [posts] => Array ( [0] => Array ( [id] => 239822 [content] => Idén további 200 000 ember hagyja el Ukrajnát, a menekültek fokozatos visszatérése csak a biztonsági kockázatok jelentős csökkentése után várható – számolt be pénteken az rbc.ua hírportál az Ukrán Nemzeti Bank (NBU) inflációs jelentésére hivatkozva (2025. április).
 A jelentés szerint az NBU közölte: „A negatív migrációs tendenciák továbbra is fennállnak, mivel a lehetséges tűzszünetről szóló tárgyalások megkezdése ellenére azok kimenetele bizonytalan, miközben Ukrajna egész területe elleni támadások és a polgári lakosság elleni terrortámadások száma folyamatosan nő.”
  
 
 Amint azt az NBU megjegyezte, még nem határozták meg véglegesen a befogadó országok azon szándékát, hogy a béke létrejöttét követően megváltoztassák vagy megszüntessék-e az ukrán menekültek ideiglenes védelmének jogi státuszát. Ezért a nettó külső migráció várhatóan mindaddig folytatódni fog, amíg a magas biztonsági kockázatok fennállnak.
 Az előrejelzések változatlanok maradnak: a menekültek további nettó kiáramlása 2025-ben (kb. 0,2 millió fő) és a visszatérésük kezdete 2026-tól (kb. 0,2 millió fő), ami 2027-ben felgyorsul (kb. 0,5 millió fő).
  „A menekültek visszatérése fokozatosan fog megtörténni, így a munkaerőhiány az előrejelzési horizonton is fennmarad. Ez további, a termelékenység növekedésénél nagyobb mértékű béremelést ösztönöz, ami növeli az inflációs nyomást. Tovább fékezi a munkaerőhiány miatti gazdasági fellendülést is” – áll az NBU jelentésében.
 
 (vb/rbc.ua)
 
 [type] => post [excerpt] => Idén további 200 000 ember hagyja el Ukrajnát, a menekültek fokozatos visszatérése csak a biztonsági kockázatok jelentős csökkentése után várható. [autID] => 12 [date] => Array ( [created] => 1745617080 [modified] => 1745585996 ) [title] => Idén további 200 ezer ember hagyja el Ukrajnát – NBU [url] => https://life.karpat.in.ua/?p=239822&lang=hu [status] => publish [translations] => Array ( [hu] => 239822 [uk] => 239830 ) [crid] => bey5821 [aut] => totinviktoria [lang] => hu [image_id] => 239823 [image] => Array ( [id] => 239823 [original] => https://life.karpat.in.ua/wp-content/uploads/2025/04/ukran-menekultek-4.jpg [original_lng] => 63569 [original_w] => 650 [original_h] => 410 [sizes] => Array ( [thumbnail] => Array ( [url] => https://life.karpat.in.ua/wp-content/uploads/2025/04/ukran-menekultek-4-150x150.jpg [width] => 150 [height] => 150 ) [medium] => Array ( [url] => https://life.karpat.in.ua/wp-content/uploads/2025/04/ukran-menekultek-4-300x189.jpg [width] => 300 [height] => 189 ) [medium_large] => Array ( [url] => https://life.karpat.in.ua/wp-content/uploads/2025/04/ukran-menekultek-4.jpg [width] => 650 [height] => 410 ) [large] => Array ( [url] => https://life.karpat.in.ua/wp-content/uploads/2025/04/ukran-menekultek-4.jpg [width] => 650 [height] => 410 ) [1536x1536] => Array ( [url] => https://life.karpat.in.ua/wp-content/uploads/2025/04/ukran-menekultek-4.jpg [width] => 650 [height] => 410 ) [2048x2048] => Array ( [url] => https://life.karpat.in.ua/wp-content/uploads/2025/04/ukran-menekultek-4.jpg [width] => 650 [height] => 410 ) [full] => Array ( [url] => https://life.karpat.in.ua/wp-content/uploads/2025/04/ukran-menekultek-4.jpg [width] => 650 [height] => 410 ) ) ) [video] => [comments_count] => 0 [domain] => Array ( [hid] => life [color] => red [title] => Життя ) [_edit_lock] => 1745582056:3 [_thumbnail_id] => 239823 [_edit_last] => 12 [views_count] => 3305 [_hipstart_feed_include] => 1 [_algolia_sync] => 907356468002 [_oembed_771958c658e9629949bf663181fed750] =>  [_oembed_time_771958c658e9629949bf663181fed750] => 1750440907 [_oembed_6cff6a122e72300b253c4d9595bbe11c] => For the first time, a majority of Poles believe the war in Ukraine should end even if it means Kyiv ceding part of its territory or independence.

Support for that view now stands at 55%, more than double the 24% found two years ago.

Read our full report: https://t.co/3XDTjQlSZA pic.twitter.com/qLHZxoBkQi
— Notes from Poland 🇵🇱 (@notesfrompoland) December 20, 2024
 [_oembed_time_6cff6a122e72300b253c4d9595bbe11c] => 1751310006 [_oembed_4a985be463a167e56fb4bb5cd686f9dc] => Under a scenario of a so-called “fragile peace” between Ukraine and Russia, more than half of Ukrainian refugees could remain in Europe until at least the end of 2029. This is according to a study by the Office of the United Nations High Commissioner for Refugees.

In a scenario… pic.twitter.com/OJKsP8TAmH
— Межа (@mezha_net) May 17, 2026
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 Emlékeztetett arra, hogy a függetlenség időszakában 52 millió ember élt Ukrajnában. A következő 10 évben ez a szám 48 millióra csökkent. Az Oroszországi Föderáció első inváziója előtt – 45 millió. 2015-ben, a Krím annektálása után a lakosság száma 42 millióra csökkent. És most, 2024 végén az ország lakossága 32 millió volt.
  
 
 A miniszter elmondása szerint az ukrán nemzet mintegy 60 millió embert számlál, de a fele Ukrajna területén kívül él, és menekültekből, a háború előtt az országot elhagyókból és a diaszpórából áll. Így körülbelül 5 millió ukrán él Európában, aki a háború miatt hagyta el az országot.
 Csernisov hozzátette, hogy az ukránok egyharmada számára a hazájukba való visszatérés első tényezője – a háború vége. Szintén fontos a gazdasági és demokratikus reformok sikere az országban.
 „Nem zárjuk ki, hogy a háború befejezése és a stabil béke létrejötte után az emberek körülbelül 30%-a komolyan fontolóra veszi a hazatérést. Mások valószínűleg további feltételeket szabnának. Lesz egy csoport, amely nem jön vissza. De Ukrajna számára hasznosak lehetnek: jelenleg is támogatják az ukrán társadalmat és az ukrán hadsereget”, jegyezte meg a miniszter.
 
 [type] => post [excerpt] => A közel 60 millió ukránból a fele Ukrajna területén kívül él, és menekültekből és a diaszpórából áll. Az elmúlt 10 évben Ukrajna lakossága 10 millióval – 32 millióra – csökkent, közölte Olekszij Csernisov miniszterelnök-helyettes. 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A 20. században a demográfiai kérdésekről folytatott vita általában az túlnépesedés közelgő veszélyeire összpontosult. Az utóbbi években azonban egyre inkább egy ellentétes problémára, azaz a csökkenő népességre irányult a figyelem. Valóban gazdasági katasztrófa-e a csökkenés, amit néhány demográfus jósol, vagy hamis riasztás? Többek között ezekre a kérdésekre válaszoltak Sullivan Ferenc, az MCC Ifjúságkutató Intézetének kutatója, valamint Luke Larson, a Budapest Fellowship Program ösztöndíjasa. Sullivan Ferenc, az MCC Ifjúságkutató Intézetének kutatója előadásában elmondta, a 21. századra jellemző rendkívüli népességcsökkenés statisztikai adatai regionális szinten jelentősen eltérőek. A kérdés összetett, megoldás lehet egy szemléletváltás a politikában és a társadalomban egyaránt, hangsúlyozta Sullivan Ferenc. Az Egyesült Államokbeli Luke Larson, az MCC Fellowship Program ösztöndíjasa néhány éve Magyarországon végzi kutatásait. Többször járt már Kárpátalján, angol anyanyelvű amerikaiként kiválóan elsajátította a magyar nyelvet és ez volt az első alkalom, amikor magyar nyelven tartotta meg előadását. Korábban kutattam a kárpátaljai magyarságot, jó itt lenni és jó Magyarországon élni, fogalmazott Luke Larson. Az előadásokat követően a jelenlévők feltehették kérdéseiket, az est kötetlen beszélgetéssel zárult.
   
 [type] => post [excerpt] => Népességcsökkenés – divatos kifejezés vagy fenyegető válság? címmel tartottak MCC estet a Mathias Corvinus Collegium Beregszászi Képzési Központjában. [autID] => 16 [date] => Array ( [created] => 1714315980 [modified] => 1714315660 ) [title] => Népességcsökkenés - divatos kifejezés vagy fenyegető válság? 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A 20. században a demográfiai kérdésekről folytatott vita általában a túlnépesedés közelgő veszélyeire összpontosult. Az utóbbi években azonban egyre inkább egy ellentétes problémára, azaz a csökkenő népességre irányult a figyelem. Valóban gazdasági katasztrófa-e a csökkenés, amit néhány demográfus jósol, vagy hamis riasztás? Többek között ezekre a kérdésekre válaszoltak Sullivan Ferenc, az MCC Ifjúságkutató Intézetének kutatója, valamint Luke Larson, a Budapest Fellowship Program ösztöndíjasa.
   
 [type] => post [excerpt] => Népességcsökkenés – divatos kifejezés vagy fenyegető válság? címmel tartottak MCC estet a Mathias Corvinus Collegium Beregszászi Képzési Központjában. 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