{"id":122565,"date":"2022-10-20T22:02:00","date_gmt":"2022-10-20T19:02:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/life.karpat.in.ua\/?p=122565"},"modified":"2022-10-20T19:21:30","modified_gmt":"2022-10-20T16:21:30","slug":"putyin-ukrajnai-invazioja-felgyorsitja-oroszorszag-demografiai-osszeomlasat","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/life.karpat.in.ua\/?p=122565&lang=hu","title":{"rendered":"Putyin ukrajnai inv\u00e1zi\u00f3ja felgyors\u00edtja Oroszorsz\u00e1g demogr\u00e1fiai \u00f6sszeoml\u00e1s\u00e1t"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Oroszorsz\u00e1g vesztes\u00e9gei a harct\u00e9ren, az oroszok mozg\u00f3s\u00edt\u00e1sa \u00e9s k\u00fclf\u00f6ldre val\u00f3 menek\u00fcl\u00e9se felgyors\u00edtja az orsz\u00e1g demogr\u00e1fiai \u00f6sszeoml\u00e1s\u00e1t. Ha a h\u00e1bor\u00fa j\u00f6v\u0151 tavasz v\u00e9g\u00e9ig tart, rekordszintre cs\u00f6kkenthet a sz\u00fclet\u00e9ssz\u00e1m.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Vlagyimir Putyin d\u00f6nt\u00e9se, hogy megt\u00e1madja Ukrajn\u00e1t, Oroszorsz\u00e1gban t\u00f6rt\u00e9nelmi szint\u0171 n\u00e9pess\u00e9gcs\u00f6kken\u00e9shez vezetett. Putyinnak a demogr\u00e1fiai helyzet stabiliz\u00e1l\u00e1s\u00e1ra ir\u00e1nyul\u00f3 c\u00e9ljait id\u00e9n al\u00e1\u00e1ss\u00e1k a harct\u00e9ren elszenvedett vesztes\u00e9gek, az oroszok mozg\u00f3s\u00edt\u00e1sa \u00e9s k\u00fclf\u00f6ldre val\u00f3 menek\u00fcl\u00e9se \u2013 k\u00f6z\u00f6lte a Bloomberg.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">A h\u00e1bor\u00fa okozta k\u00e1rok az 1990-es \u00e9vek demogr\u00e1fiai v\u00e1ls\u00e1g\u00e1hoz, a Szovjetuni\u00f3 \u00f6sszeoml\u00e1sa ut\u00e1ni gazdas\u00e1gi neh\u00e9zs\u00e9gek id\u0151szak\u00e1hoz hasonl\u00edthat\u00f3ak, ami a sz\u00fclet\u00e9ssz\u00e1m hirtelen cs\u00f6kken\u00e9s\u00e9hez vezetett.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Kor\u00e1bban az orosz korm\u00e1ny azt tervezte, hogy 2022-ben siker\u00fcl meg\u00e1ll\u00edtani a n\u00e9pess\u00e9gfogy\u00e1st, miel\u0151tt 2030-ban folytat\u00f3dna a n\u00f6veked\u00e9s. \u00c1m n\u00e9h\u00e1ny h\u00e9ttel a mozg\u00f3s\u00edt\u00e1s bejelent\u00e9se el\u0151tt, k\u00f6z\u00f6lte a Bloomberg, egy bels\u0151 jelent\u00e9sb\u0151l kider\u00fclt, hogy ezek a c\u00e9lok irre\u00e1lisak.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">A jelent\u00e9s a koronav\u00edrus \u00e9s a kiv\u00e1ndorl\u00e1s k\u00f6vetkezm\u00e9nyeire hivatkozva az Oroszorsz\u00e1gi F\u00f6der\u00e1ci\u00f3 lakoss\u00e1g\u00e1nak 416 700 f\u0151s cs\u00f6kken\u00e9s\u00e9t jel\u00f6lte meg 2030-ban.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Igor Jefremov, demogr\u00e1fiai kutat\u00f3 \u00e9s szak\u00e9rt\u0151 elmond\u00e1sa szerint, ha a k\u00f6vetkez\u0151 h\u00f3napokban folytat\u00f3dnak a harci cselekm\u00e9nyek, kevesebb mint 1,2 milli\u00f3 ember sz\u00fclethet Oroszorsz\u00e1gban \u2013 ez a legalacsonyabb ar\u00e1ny az orsz\u00e1g \u00fajkori t\u00f6rt\u00e9nelm\u00e9ben.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u201eA sz\u00fclet\u00e9sek sz\u00e1m\u00e1ra gyakorolt hat\u00e1s k\u00f6zvetett lesz, mivel a legt\u00f6bb csal\u00e1d eset\u00e9ben teljesen megsemmis\u00fclnek a tervek. \u00c9s min\u00e9l tov\u00e1bb tart a mozg\u00f3s\u00edt\u00e1s, ann\u00e1l er\u0151sebb lesz a hat\u00e1s\u201d \u2013 mondta Jefremov.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u201eOroszorsz\u00e1g lakoss\u00e1ga cs\u00f6kken, \u00e9s a h\u00e1bor\u00fa m\u00e9g jobban cs\u00f6kkenteni fogja. Hogy mik az okok? Kiv\u00e1ndorl\u00e1s, alacsony sz\u00fclet\u00e9si r\u00e1ta \u00e9s a h\u00e1bor\u00fas vesztes\u00e9gek. Ez al\u00e1\u00e1ssa a potenci\u00e1lis n\u00f6veked\u00e9st, \u00e9s elh\u00fazza a fisk\u00e1lis politik\u00e1t, mik\u00f6zben a korm\u00e1ny pronatalista politik\u00e1val pr\u00f3b\u00e1lja megford\u00edtani a cs\u00f6kken\u0151 munkaer\u0151t\u201d, \u2013 mondta Olekszandr Iszakov k\u00f6zgazd\u00e1sz.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Jefremov elmond\u00e1sa szerint a katonai kamp\u00e1ny \u00e9s a mozg\u00f3s\u00edt\u00e1s j\u00f6v\u0151 tavasz v\u00e9g\u00e9ig val\u00f3 folytat\u00e1sa \u201ekatasztr\u00f3fa lenne\u201d, mivel a sz\u00fclet\u00e9si r\u00e1ta val\u00f3sz\u00edn\u0171leg 1 milli\u00f3ra cs\u00f6kken a 2024 k\u00f6zep\u00e9ig tart\u00f3 12 h\u00f3napban. Szerinte a sz\u00fclet\u00e9si r\u00e1ta 1,2 gyermek\/n\u0151 lehet, amit Oroszorsz\u00e1gban csak egyszer regisztr\u00e1ltak 1999-2000-ben.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">&lt;!&#8211;translatorid:ild5234 &#8211;&gt;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Oroszorsz\u00e1g vesztes\u00e9gei a harct\u00e9ren, az oroszok mozg\u00f3s\u00edt\u00e1sa \u00e9s k\u00fclf\u00f6ldre val\u00f3 menek\u00fcl\u00e9se felgyors\u00edtja az orsz\u00e1g demogr\u00e1fiai \u00f6sszeoml\u00e1s\u00e1t. Ha a h\u00e1bor\u00fa j\u00f6v\u0151 tavasz v\u00e9g\u00e9ig tart, rekordszintre cs\u00f6kkenthet a sz\u00fclet\u00e9ssz\u00e1m.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":12,"featured_media":122364,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[41,83882,11,592,39],"tags":[44769,314426,689],"class_list":["post-122565","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-cikkek","category-war-hu","category-kiemelt-tema","category-tarsadalom","category-vilag","tag-haboru","tag-orosz-nepesseg","tag-oroszorszag"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/life.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/122565","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/life.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/life.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/life.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/12"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/life.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=122565"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/life.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/122565\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":122566,"href":"https:\/\/life.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/122565\/revisions\/122566"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/life.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/122364"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/life.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=122565"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/life.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=122565"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/life.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=122565"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}