{"id":153080,"date":"2023-07-03T12:45:00","date_gmt":"2023-07-03T09:45:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/life.karpat.in.ua\/?p=153080"},"modified":"2023-07-03T08:57:46","modified_gmt":"2023-07-03T05:57:46","slug":"a-haborus-tanulmanyok-intezete-ismertette-a-zaporizzsjai-atomeromuben-valoszinusitheto-terrortamadasok-forgatokonyveit","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/life.karpat.in.ua\/?p=153080&lang=hu","title":{"rendered":"A H\u00e1bor\u00fas Tanulm\u00e1nyok Int\u00e9zete ismertette a Zaporizzsjai Atomer\u0151m\u0171ben val\u00f3sz\u00edn\u0171s\u00edthet\u0151 terrort\u00e1mad\u00e1sok forgat\u00f3k\u00f6nyveit"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Az oroszok nagy val\u00f3sz\u00edn\u0171s\u00e9ggel nem fognak sz\u00e1nd\u00e9kosan balesetet okozni a Zaporizzsjai Atomer\u0151m\u0171ben, mert nem tudj\u00e1k majd ellen\u0151rizni annak k\u00f6vetkezm\u00e9nyeit. A Kahovkai Vizer\u0151m\u0171 felrobbant\u00e1s\u00e1nak tapasztalatai azonban azt mutatj\u00e1k, hogy a megsz\u00e1ll\u00f3k folyamodhatnak egy ilyen terrort\u00e1mad\u00e1shoz, sz\u00e1molt be a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.understandingwar.org\/backgrounder\/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-june-30-2023\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">H\u00e1bor\u00fas Tanulm\u00e1nyok Int\u00e9zete (ISW)<\/a>.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"970\" height=\"544\" src=\"https:\/\/life.karpat.in.ua\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/zaes-1.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-152897\" srcset=\"https:\/\/life.karpat.in.ua\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/zaes-1.jpg 970w, https:\/\/life.karpat.in.ua\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/zaes-1-300x168.jpg 300w, https:\/\/life.karpat.in.ua\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/zaes-1-768x431.jpg 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 970px) 100vw, 970px\" \/><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Elemz\u0151k v\u00e9lem\u00e9nye szerint a Zaporizzsjai Atomer\u0151m\u0171 elleni terrort\u00e1mad\u00e1s k\u00f6vetkezm\u00e9nyei az oroszokra n\u00e9zve rosszabbak lehetnek, mint a fegyveres er\u0151k ellent\u00e1mad\u00e1s\u00e1val kapcsolatos probl\u00e9m\u00e1k, \u00edgy az Oroszorsz\u00e1gi F\u00f6der\u00e1ci\u00f3 val\u00f3sz\u00edn\u0171leg folytatni fogja a nukle\u00e1ris katasztr\u00f3f\u00e1val val\u00f3 fenyeget\u00e9s politik\u00e1j\u00e1t.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u201eA kahovkai g\u00e1t az oroszok \u00e1ltal val\u00f3sz\u00edn\u0171s\u00edthet\u0151 megsemmis\u00edt\u00e9se azonban az orosz er\u0151kre is negat\u00edv hat\u00e1ssal volt, \u00e9s nem z\u00e1rhat\u00f3ak ki a Zaporizzsjai Atomer\u0151m\u0171vel kapcsolatos orosz szabot\u00e1zstervek\u201d \u2013 \u200b\u200bsz\u00f6gezt\u00e9k le a H\u00e1bor\u00fas Tanulm\u00e1nyok Int\u00e9zet\u00e9ben.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Az int\u00e9zet elemz\u00e9se szerint terrort\u00e1mad\u00e1s eset\u00e9n az Oroszorsz\u00e1gi F\u00f6der\u00e1ci\u00f3 h\u00e1rom forgat\u00f3k\u00f6nyvh\u00f6z folyamodhat:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>a Zaporizzsjai Atomer\u0151m\u0171b\u0151l a sug\u00e1rfert\u0151z\u00f6tt vizet a Kahovszkai-t\u00e1roz\u00f3ba \u00f6ntik, hogy megakad\u00e1lyozz\u00e1k az ukr\u00e1nok \u00e1thalad\u00e1s\u00e1t a m\u00e1r nagyr\u00e9szt ki\u00fcr\u00fclt t\u00e1roz\u00f3n.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>egy nagy ter\u00fcletet lefed\u0151 radioakt\u00edv \u201efolyos\u00f3t\u201d hoznak l\u00e9tre D\u00e9l-Ukrajn\u00e1ban, b\u00e1r a reaktorokat \u00fagy tervezt\u00e9k, hogy megnehez\u00edts\u00e9k ennek l\u00e9trehoz\u00e1s\u00e1t.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>kis hat\u00f3sugar\u00fa balesetet okoznak, hogy megakad\u00e1lyozz\u00e1k az ukr\u00e1n fegyveres er\u0151k offenz\u00edv\u00e1j\u00e1t a Zaporizzsjai Atomer\u0151m\u0171 k\u00f6zel\u00e9ben.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u201eEzen lehet\u0151s\u00e9gek egyike sem ny\u00fajt hasznot az orosz csapatoknak, mint az \u00e1ltaluk okozott lehets\u00e9ges k\u00f6vetkezm\u00e9nyek\u201d \u2013 hangs\u00falyozt\u00e1k az elemz\u0151k.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Ezenk\u00edv\u00fcl az Oroszorsz\u00e1gi F\u00f6der\u00e1ci\u00f3 a szok\u00e1sos politik\u00e1hoz fog folyamodni, \u00e9s Ukrajn\u00e1t fogja v\u00e1dolni. A H\u00e1bor\u00fas Tanulm\u00e1nyok Int\u00e9zete \u00edgy komment\u00e1lta Marija Zaharova, az Oroszorsz\u00e1gi F\u00f6der\u00e1ci\u00f3 k\u00fcl\u00fcgyminiszt\u00e9rium vezet\u0151j\u00e9nek szavait, aki kijelentette, hogy Ukrajna \u00e1ll\u00edt\u00f3lag a Zaporizzsjai Atomer\u0151m\u0171 megt\u00e1mad\u00e1s\u00e1ra k\u00e9sz\u00fcl.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u201eZaharova abszurd \u00e9rvel\u00e9se jellemz\u0151 a Kreml inform\u00e1ci\u00f3s m\u0171veleteire a Zaporizzsjai Atomer\u0151m\u0171 biztons\u00e1g\u00e1t fenyeget\u0151 \u00e1ll\u00edt\u00f3lagos v\u00e9szhelyzetr\u0151l. A Kreml rendszeresen fenyeget\u0151z\u00f6tt nukle\u00e1ris eszkal\u00e1ci\u00f3val, \u00e9s figyelmeztetett a f\u0151k\u00e9nt Oroszorsz\u00e1g \u00e1ltal, az atomer\u0151m\u0171ben l\u00e9trehozott fenyegetetts\u00e9gre, hogy nyom\u00e1st gyakoroljon Ukrajn\u00e1ra, korl\u00e1tozza katonai akci\u00f3it, \u00e9s megakad\u00e1lyozza a Nyugat t\u00e1mogat\u00e1s\u00e1t\u201d \u2013 k\u00f6z\u00f6lte az ISW.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u00d6sszegz\u00e9sk\u00e9nt az elemz\u0151k megjegyzik, hogy a Zaporizzsjai Atomer\u0151m\u0171ben bek\u00f6vetkez\u0151 esetleges balesetet Oroszorsz\u00e1g felhaszn\u00e1lhatja Ukrajna megf\u00e9leml\u00edt\u00e9s\u00e9re a d\u00e9li ellent\u00e1mad\u00e1s meg\u00e1ll\u00edt\u00e1sa \u00e9rdek\u00e9ben, valamint arra, hogy nyom\u00e1st gyakoroljon a Nyugatra a NATO vilniusi cs\u00facstal\u00e1lkoz\u00f3ja el\u0151tt.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">&lt;!&#8211;translatorid:ild5234 &#8211;&gt;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Az oroszok nagy val\u00f3sz\u00edn\u0171s\u00e9ggel nem fognak sz\u00e1nd\u00e9kosan balesetet okozni a Zaporizzsjai Atomer\u0151m\u0171ben, mert nem tudj\u00e1k majd ellen\u0151rizni annak k\u00f6vetkezm\u00e9nyeit. <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":12,"featured_media":152897,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[41,83882,11,592,33],"tags":[223339,93542,223338],"class_list":["post-153080","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-cikkek","category-war-hu","category-kiemelt-tema","category-tarsadalom","category-ukrajna","tag-robbantas","tag-sugarfertozes","tag-zaporizzsjai-atomeromu"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/life.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/153080","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/life.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/life.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/life.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/12"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/life.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=153080"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/life.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/153080\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":153081,"href":"https:\/\/life.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/153080\/revisions\/153081"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/life.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/152897"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/life.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=153080"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/life.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=153080"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/life.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=153080"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}