{"id":175999,"date":"2024-01-20T22:17:00","date_gmt":"2024-01-20T20:17:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/life.karpat.in.ua\/?p=175999"},"modified":"2024-01-20T02:24:26","modified_gmt":"2024-01-20T00:24:26","slug":"demografiai-katasztrofa-30-ezer-varos-neptelenedhet-el-amerikaban","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/life.karpat.in.ua\/?p=175999&lang=hu","title":{"rendered":"Demogr\u00e1fiai katasztr\u00f3fa: 30 ezer v\u00e1ros n\u00e9ptelenedhet el Amerik\u00e1ban"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Tanulm\u00e1ny szerint 2100-ra 30 ezer amerikai v\u00e1rost fenyegethet eln\u00e9ptelened\u00e9s az alacsonyabb sz\u00fclet\u00e9ssz\u00e1m \u00e9s a v\u00e1rosi migr\u00e1ci\u00f3 miatt \u2013 \u00edrta a Hindustan Times.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">A leg\u00fajabb kutat\u00e1sok szerint 2100-ra az Egyes\u00fclt \u00c1llamok v\u00e1rost\u00e9rk\u00e9pe \u00e1talakulhat, \u00e9s az el\u0151rejelz\u00e9sek szerint k\u00f6zel 30 ezer v\u00e1rosban jelent\u0151s n\u00e9pess\u00e9gcs\u00f6kken\u00e9s k\u00f6vetkezhet be. A Sybil Derrible, a Chicag\u00f3i Illinois Egyetem v\u00e1rosm\u00e9rn\u00f6ke \u00e1ltal vezetett tanulm\u00e1ny szerint ezekben a v\u00e1rosokban a lakosok sz\u00e1ma 12 \u00e9s 23 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9k k\u00f6z\u00f6tti m\u00e9rt\u00e9kben cs\u00f6kkenhet.<\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"576\" src=\"https:\/\/life.karpat.in.ua\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/detroit-elhagyatott-varosresz-651249-1024x576.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-176000\" srcset=\"https:\/\/life.karpat.in.ua\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/detroit-elhagyatott-varosresz-651249-1024x576.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/life.karpat.in.ua\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/detroit-elhagyatott-varosresz-651249-300x169.jpg 300w, https:\/\/life.karpat.in.ua\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/detroit-elhagyatott-varosresz-651249-768x432.jpg 768w, https:\/\/life.karpat.in.ua\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/detroit-elhagyatott-varosresz-651249.jpg 1125w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Ezt az elmozdul\u00e1st az alacsonyabb sz\u00fclet\u00e9si r\u00e1t\u00e1nak \u00e9s a v\u00e1rosokba migr\u00e1ci\u00f3 k\u00f6lt\u00f6z\u00e9s tendenci\u00e1j\u00e1nak tulajdon\u00edtj\u00e1k.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Derrible r\u00e1vil\u00e1g\u00edt egy kritikus probl\u00e9m\u00e1ra, amellyel a v\u00e1rostervez\u00e9snek szembe kell n\u00e9znie: A jelenlegi tervez\u00e9s\u00fcnk a n\u00f6veked\u00e9sen alapul, de az Egyes\u00fclt \u00c1llamok v\u00e1rosainak k\u00f6zel fele eln\u00e9ptelened\u0151ben van.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Hangs\u00falyozza, hogy paradigmav\u00e1lt\u00e1sra van sz\u00fcks\u00e9g a v\u00e1rostervez\u00e9si \u00e9s m\u00e9rn\u00f6ki gyakorlatban, a n\u00f6veked\u00e9sk\u00f6zpont\u00fa modellekt\u0151l val\u00f3 elt\u00e1volod\u00e1sra.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">A tanulm\u00e1nyban r\u00e9szt vev\u0151 kutat\u00f3k szerint ezeket a j\u00f6v\u0151beli v\u00e1rosokat nem szellemv\u00e1rosokk\u00e9nt kell elk\u00e9pzelni. Ehelyett sokkal val\u00f3sz\u00edn\u0171bb, hogy a bels\u0151 \u00e9s k\u00fcls\u0151 n\u00e9pess\u00e9gmozg\u00e1sok miatt sz\u00e9tt\u00f6redezett vagy gy\u00e9ren lakott k\u00f6z\u00f6ss\u00e9gekk\u00e9 alakulnak. A v\u00e1rosok demogr\u00e1fiai v\u00e1ltoz\u00e1sokhoz val\u00f3 sikeres alkalmazkod\u00e1sa att\u00f3l f\u00fcgg, hogy a helyi \u00f6nkorm\u00e1nyzatok \u00e9s a v\u00e1rostervez\u0151k hat\u00e9konyan reag\u00e1lnak-e a lakosok v\u00e1ltoz\u00f3 ig\u00e9nyeire. A n\u00e9pess\u00e9g sz\u00e1mottev\u0151 cs\u00f6kken\u00e9se sz\u00e1mos kih\u00edv\u00e1st jelent, t\u00f6bbek k\u00f6z\u00f6tt meg kell birk\u00f3zni az olyan l\u00e9tfontoss\u00e1g\u00fa szolg\u00e1ltat\u00e1sok, mint az \u00e1ram, a tiszta v\u00edz, az internet-hozz\u00e1f\u00e9r\u00e9s \u00e9s a k\u00f6zleked\u00e9si rendszerek lehets\u00e9ges zavaraival.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Ezek az aggodalmak a k\u00f6vetkez\u0151 nyolc \u00e9vtizedben v\u00e1rhat\u00f3an alacsony term\u00e9kenys\u00e9gi ar\u00e1nysz\u00e1mokb\u00f3l \u00e9s a v\u00e1rosok n\u00e9pess\u00e9g\u00e9nek cs\u00f6kken\u00e9s\u00e9b\u0151l fakadnak \u2013 ez az el\u0151rejelz\u00e9s az elm\u00falt h\u00fasz \u00e9vben megfigyelt tendenci\u00e1kon alapul.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">A tanulm\u00e1ny meg\u00e1llap\u00edt\u00e1sai \u00f6sszhangban vannak az amerikai n\u00e9pesed\u00e9si el\u0151rejelz\u00e9sekkel, amelyek 2080-ra az Egyes\u00fclt \u00c1llamok teljes n\u00e9pess\u00e9gcs\u00f6kken\u00e9s\u00e9t j\u00f3solj\u00e1k. A tendenci\u00e1kat az Egyes\u00fclt \u00c1llamok Mez\u0151gazdas\u00e1gi Miniszt\u00e9rium\u00e1nak (USDA) adatai is al\u00e1t\u00e1masztj\u00e1k, amelyek becsl\u00e9se szerint a nem nagyv\u00e1rosi megy\u00e9kben 2010 \u00e9s 2017 k\u00f6z\u00f6tt 3,2%-kal cs\u00f6kkent a n\u00e9pess\u00e9g. A vid\u00e9ki ter\u00fcletek orsz\u00e1gszerte a n\u00e9pess\u00e9g sz\u00e1m\u00e1nak tart\u00f3s cs\u00f6kken\u00e9s\u00e9t tapasztalj\u00e1k. Ezeket a demogr\u00e1fiai v\u00e1ltoz\u00e1sokat gyakran az jellemzi, hogy a fiatal feln\u0151ttek elv\u00e1ndorolnak a vid\u00e9ki kereskedelmi k\u00f6zpontokb\u00f3l, \u00e9s el\u00f6reged\u0151 lakoss\u00e1got hagynak maguk ut\u00e1n az eln\u00e9ptelened\u0151 ter\u00fcleteken.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-right wp-block-paragraph\"><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.portfolio.hu\/gazdasag\/20240117\/dramai-kutatasban-irnak-a-demografiai-katasztrofarol-30-ezer-varos-neptelenedhet-el-amerikaban-663627\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">(portfolio.hu)<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Tanulm\u00e1ny szerint 2100-ra 30 ezer amerikai v\u00e1rost fenyegethet eln\u00e9ptelened\u00e9s az alacsonyabb sz\u00fclet\u00e9ssz\u00e1m \u00e9s a v\u00e1rosi migr\u00e1ci\u00f3 miatt \u2013 \u00edrta a Hindustan Times.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":12,"featured_media":176000,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[41,596,11,592,39],"tags":[552735,739869,739870,1227],"class_list":["post-175999","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-cikkek","category-erdekes","category-kiemelt-tema","category-tarsadalom","category-vilag","tag-demografiai-krizis","tag-elneptelenedes","tag-kiurult-varosok","tag-usa"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/life.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/175999","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/life.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/life.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/life.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/12"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/life.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=175999"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/life.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/175999\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":176001,"href":"https:\/\/life.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/175999\/revisions\/176001"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/life.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/176000"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/life.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=175999"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/life.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=175999"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/life.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=175999"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}