{"id":239776,"date":"2025-04-24T22:02:00","date_gmt":"2025-04-24T19:02:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/life.karpat.in.ua\/?p=239776"},"modified":"2025-04-24T19:34:12","modified_gmt":"2025-04-24T16:34:12","slug":"az-imf-borus-elorejelzest-tett-ukrajna-lakossagarol-2030-ig","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/life.karpat.in.ua\/?p=239776&lang=hu","title":{"rendered":"Az IMF bor\u00fas el\u0151rejelz\u00e9st tett Ukrajna lakoss\u00e1g\u00e1r\u00f3l 2030-ig"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>A Nemzetk\u00f6zi Valutaalap (IMF) rontott az Ukrajna lakoss\u00e1g\u00e1ra vonatkoz\u00f3 el\u0151rejelz\u00e9s\u00e9n, mivel nem minden menek\u00fclt t\u00e9r vissza \u2013 sz\u00e1molt be cs\u00fct\u00f6rt\u00f6k\u00f6n az <a href=\"https:\/\/www.rbc.ua\/rus\/news\/mvf-otsiniv-kilkist-naselennya-ukrayini-i-1745503401.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">rbc.ua<\/a> h\u00edrport\u00e1l az <a href=\"https:\/\/www.imf.org\/en\/Publications\/WEO\/weo-database\/2025\/april\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">IMF World Economic Outlook<\/a> (2025. \u00e1prilis) jelent\u00e9s\u00e9re hivatkozva.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Az IMF szerint Ukrajna lakoss\u00e1ga 2021-ben 41,0 milli\u00f3 f\u0151 volt. 2022-ben 34,5 milli\u00f3 f\u0151re, 2023-ban 34,0 milli\u00f3 f\u0151re, 2024-ben pedig 33,3 milli\u00f3 f\u0151re cs\u00f6kkent.<\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"650\" height=\"410\" src=\"https:\/\/life.karpat.in.ua\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/ukran-menekultek-2.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-239777\" srcset=\"https:\/\/life.karpat.in.ua\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/ukran-menekultek-2.jpg 650w, https:\/\/life.karpat.in.ua\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/ukran-menekultek-2-300x189.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 650px) 100vw, 650px\" \/><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Az IMF n\u00e9pess\u00e9gsz\u00e1m k\u00f6vetkez\u0151 alakul\u00e1s\u00e1t j\u00f3solja:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>2025 \u2013 32,9 milli\u00f3 ember (tavaly okt\u00f3beri el\u0151rejelz\u00e9s \u2013 33,0 milli\u00f3 ember)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>2026 \u2013 33,4 milli\u00f3 ember (okt\u00f3beri el\u0151rejelz\u00e9s \u2013 34,2 milli\u00f3 ember)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>2027 \u2013 34,0 milli\u00f3 ember (okt\u00f3beri el\u0151rejelz\u00e9s \u2013 34,5 milli\u00f3 ember)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>2028 \u2013 34,0 milli\u00f3 ember (okt\u00f3beri el\u0151rejelz\u00e9s \u2013 34,5 milli\u00f3 ember)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>2029 \u2013 34,0 milli\u00f3 ember (okt\u00f3beri el\u0151rejelz\u00e9s \u2013 34,5 milli\u00f3 ember)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>2030 \u2013 33,9 milli\u00f3 ember.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Az el\u0151rejelz\u00e9s \u00f6sszhangban van az IMF alapforgat\u00f3k\u00f6nyv\u00e9vel, amely szerint Oroszorsz\u00e1g Ukrajna elleni h\u00e1bor\u00faja 2025 v\u00e9g\u00e9re befejez\u0151dik (ami a menek\u00fcltek r\u00e9szleges visszat\u00e9r\u00e9s\u00e9hez vezet).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Az Ukr\u00e1n Nemzeti Bank (NBU) szerint 2024-ben folytat\u00f3dott a menek\u00fcltek ki\u00e1raml\u00e1sa Ukrajn\u00e1b\u00f3l, \u00e9s az \u00e9v sor\u00e1n \u00f6sszesen mintegy 0,5 milli\u00f3 embert tett ki. 2025-ben v\u00e1rhat\u00f3an folytat\u00f3dik a k\u00fcls\u0151 menek\u00fcl\u0151k nett\u00f3 ki\u00e1raml\u00e1sa (kb. 0,2 milli\u00f3 f\u0151), 2026-t\u00f3l azonban megkezd\u0151dik a menek\u00fcltek nett\u00f3 visszat\u00e9r\u00e9se Ukrajn\u00e1ba (kb. 0,2 milli\u00f3 f\u0151), ami 2027-ben felgyorsul (kb. 0,5 milli\u00f3 f\u0151).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Az ENSZ Menek\u00fclt\u00fcgyi \u00dcgyn\u00f6ks\u00e9ge szerint 2024. december 16-\u00e1n 6,8 milli\u00f3 Ukrajn\u00e1b\u00f3l sz\u00e1rmaz\u00f3 menek\u00fcltet regisztr\u00e1ltak vil\u00e1gszerte. De ezek az adatok figyelembe veszik azokat az ukr\u00e1nokat is, akik Oroszorsz\u00e1gba \u00e9s Feh\u00e9roroszorsz\u00e1gba t\u00e1voztak (vagy er\u0151szakkal kitoloncolt\u00e1k \u0151ket). Ha nem vessz\u00fck figyelembe az agresszor orsz\u00e1gok ter\u00fclet\u00e9n tart\u00f3zkod\u00f3 ukr\u00e1nokat, a sz\u00e1muk 5,5 milli\u00f3.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-right wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>(vb\/rbc.ua)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">&lt;!&#8211; creatorid:bey5821&nbsp;&#8211;&gt;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>A Nemzetk\u00f6zi Valutaalap (IMF) rontott az Ukrajna lakoss\u00e1g\u00e1ra vonatkoz\u00f3 el\u0151rejelz\u00e9s\u00e9n, mivel nem minden menek\u00fclt t\u00e9r vissza.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":12,"featured_media":239777,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[4000,41,83882,11,33],"tags":[1881325,75800,86640,1881324],"class_list":["post-239776","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-actual-hu","category-cikkek","category-war-hu","category-kiemelt-tema","category-ukrajna","tag-lakossag-fogyas","tag-ukrajna-lakossaga","tag-ukrajnai-menekultek","tag-visszaaramlas"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/life.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/239776","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/life.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/life.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/life.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/12"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/life.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=239776"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/life.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/239776\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":239778,"href":"https:\/\/life.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/239776\/revisions\/239778"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/life.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/239777"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/life.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=239776"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/life.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=239776"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/life.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=239776"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}