{"id":265782,"date":"2025-12-15T14:44:00","date_gmt":"2025-12-15T12:44:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/life.karpat.in.ua\/?p=265782"},"modified":"2025-12-15T04:50:24","modified_gmt":"2025-12-15T02:50:24","slug":"a-reuters-szerint-oriasi-az-ukrajnai-demografiai-valsag","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/life.karpat.in.ua\/?p=265782&lang=hu","title":{"rendered":"A Reuters szerint \u00f3ri\u00e1si az ukrajnai demogr\u00e1fiai v\u00e1ls\u00e1g"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Ukrajna m\u00e1r az inv\u00e1zi\u00f3 el\u0151tt is demogr\u00e1fiai v\u00e1ls\u00e1ggal k\u00fczd\u00f6tt, amelyet a k\u00f6zel n\u00e9gy \u00e9ve tart\u00f3 h\u00e1bor\u00fa m\u00e9g tov\u00e1bb s\u00falyosb\u00edtott. A legut\u00f3bbi el\u0151rejelz\u00e9sek szerint az orsz\u00e1g lakoss\u00e1ga \u2013 amelyet a 2022-es t\u00e1mad\u00e1s el\u0151tt 42 milli\u00f3 f\u0151re becs\u00fcltek \u2013 2100-ig a 9 \u00e9s 23 milli\u00f3 f\u0151 k\u00f6zti tartom\u00e1nyba eshet vissza, ennek minden probl\u00e9m\u00e1j\u00e1val egy\u00fctt.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

A t\u00e9m\u00e1t a Reuters j\u00e1rta k\u00f6rbe egy cikkben, amelyben azt \u00edrt\u00e1k: Ukrajna n\u00e9pess\u00e9ge az orosz inv\u00e1zi\u00f3 el\u0151tti 42 milli\u00f3r\u00f3l mostanra 36 milli\u00f3 al\u00e1 cs\u00f6kkent a becsl\u00e9sek szerint, 2051-re pedig 25 milli\u00f3ra cs\u00f6kkenhet az ukr\u00e1n Nemzeti Tudom\u00e1nyos Akad\u00e9mia el\u0151rejelz\u00e9se szerint. Enn\u00e9l is bor\u00fasabb az ENSZ 2024-es becsl\u00e9se, amelyben azt \u00edrt\u00e1k, hogy 2100-ig bez\u00e1r\u00f3lag az ukr\u00e1n n\u00e9pess\u00e9g 9\u201323 milli\u00f3 f\u0151re esik vissza.<\/p>\n\n\n

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\"\"<\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n

A h\u00edr\u00fcgyn\u00f6ks\u00e9g szerint a helyzetet j\u00f3l illusztr\u00e1lja, hogy egy nyugati kisv\u00e1rosban, Hoscs\u00e1ban szinte \u00fcres sz\u00fcl\u00e9szeti oszt\u00e1ly, m\u00edg a hal\u00e1loz\u00e1sok \u00e9s az emigr\u00e1ci\u00f3 sz\u00e1ma tov\u00e1bbra is emelkedik. Mindek\u00f6zben felsorolt\u00e1k a demogr\u00e1fiai v\u00e1ls\u00e1g okait is: a h\u00e1bor\u00fas \u00e1ldozatok, az alacsony sz\u00fclet\u00e9si ar\u00e1ny, a cs\u00f6kkent v\u00e1rhat\u00f3 \u00e9lettartam \u00e9s a t\u00f6meges kiv\u00e1ndorl\u00e1s mind-mind ki\u00fcres\u00edtik a k\u00f6z\u00f6ss\u00e9geket.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Az iskol\u00e1k bez\u00e1rnak, a fiatalok elmennek az orsz\u00e1gb\u00f3l, \u00e9s sok csal\u00e1d az instabilit\u00e1s \u00e9s a gazdas\u00e1gi nyom\u00e1s miatt nem mer gyermekeket v\u00e1llalni.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Megjegyezt\u00e9k: az ukr\u00e1n korm\u00e1ny demogr\u00e1fiai strat\u00e9gi\u00e1t dolgozott ki, amelynek c\u00e9lja a polg\u00e1rok megtart\u00e1sa, a migr\u00e1nsok visszahoz\u00e1sa \u00e9s a k\u00fclf\u00f6ldi munkav\u00e1llal\u00f3k vonz\u00e1sa, abban a rem\u00e9nyben, hogy 2040-re a n\u00e9pess\u00e9g sz\u00e1ma visszat\u00e9r a 34 milli\u00f3 k\u00f6r\u00fcli szintre. De jelent\u0151s javul\u00e1sok n\u00e9lk\u00fcl \u2013 \u00e9s a harcok folytat\u00f3d\u00e1s\u00e1val \u2013 Ukrajna kock\u00e1ztatja, hogy hi\u00e1nyozni fognak azok a milli\u00f3k, akikre sz\u00fcks\u00e9ge lesz a gazdas\u00e1g \u00fajj\u00e1\u00e9p\u00edt\u00e9s\u00e9hez \u00e9s a j\u00f6v\u0151beni v\u00e9delm\u00e9hez.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

A hanyatl\u00e1s pedig egyre gyorsul: a CIA World Factbook 2024-es becsl\u00e9sei szerint Ukrajn\u00e1ban a vil\u00e1gon a legmagasabb a hal\u00e1loz\u00e1si ar\u00e1ny \u00e9s a legalacsonyabb a sz\u00fclet\u00e9si ar\u00e1ny: minden sz\u00fclet\u00e9sre k\u00f6r\u00fclbel\u00fcl h\u00e1rom hal\u00e1leset jut. A cikkben egy grafikont is mutattak ezzel kapcsolatban, amelyben t\u00f6bbek k\u00f6zt az is l\u00e1that\u00f3, hogy a d\u00e9lkeleti Herszoni ter\u00fcleten 11 hal\u00e1loz\u00e1s jut egyetlen sz\u00fclet\u00e9sre, ami a legrosszabb ar\u00e1ny az orsz\u00e1gban.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

K\u00e1rp\u00e1talj\u00e1n jobb a helyzet, de ott sem mondhat\u00f3 pozit\u00edvnak: a d\u00e9lnyugati r\u00e9gi\u00f3ban 1,7 hal\u00e1loz\u00e1s jut egy sz\u00fclet\u00e9sre. A korm\u00e1ny becsl\u00e9sei szerint Ukrajn\u00e1ban a f\u00e9rfiak \u00e1tlagos \u00e9lettartama a h\u00e1bor\u00fa el\u0151tti 65,2 \u00e9vr\u0151l 2024-re 57,3 \u00e9vre cs\u00f6kkent. A n\u0151k eset\u00e9ben ez a sz\u00e1m 74,4-r\u0151l 70,9-re cs\u00f6kkent. Szak\u00e9rt\u0151k \u00e9s politikusok szerint Ukrajn\u00e1nak t\u00f6bb milli\u00f3 emberre lesz sz\u00fcks\u00e9ge a romba d\u0151lt gazdas\u00e1g \u00fajj\u00e1\u00e9p\u00edt\u00e9s\u00e9hez, valamint ahhoz, hogy a h\u00e1bor\u00fa ut\u00e1n megv\u00e9dhesse mag\u00e1t, ha Moszkva \u00fajra t\u00e1mad\u00e1st ind\u00edt \u2013 amit\u0151l sok ukr\u00e1n tart.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

(hirado.hu)<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Ukrajna m\u00e1r az inv\u00e1zi\u00f3 el\u0151tt is demogr\u00e1fiai v\u00e1ls\u00e1ggal k\u00fczd\u00f6tt, amelyet a k\u00f6zel n\u00e9gy \u00e9ve tart\u00f3 h\u00e1bor\u00fa m\u00e9g tov\u00e1bb s\u00falyosb\u00edtott. <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":12,"featured_media":265783,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[41,596,49,592,39],"tags":[35117,11262,82890],"class_list":["post-265782","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-cikkek","category-erdekes","category-hirek","category-tarsadalom","category-vilag","tag-demografia","tag-menekultek","tag-ukran-menekultek"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/life.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/265782","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/life.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/life.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/life.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/12"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/life.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=265782"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/life.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/265782\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":265784,"href":"https:\/\/life.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/265782\/revisions\/265784"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/life.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/265783"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/life.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=265782"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/life.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=265782"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/life.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=265782"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}