{"id":275464,"date":"2026-03-09T22:22:00","date_gmt":"2026-03-09T20:22:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/life.karpat.in.ua\/?p=275464"},"modified":"2026-03-09T08:24:44","modified_gmt":"2026-03-09T06:24:44","slug":"egy-tanulmany-szerint-az-emberiseg-minden-eddiginel-gyorsabban-melegiti-fel-a-foldet","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/life.karpat.in.ua\/?p=275464&lang=hu","title":{"rendered":"Egy tanulm\u00e1ny szerint az emberis\u00e9g minden eddigin\u00e9l gyorsabban meleg\u00edti fel a F\u00f6ldet"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Tud\u00f3sok meg\u00e1llap\u00edtott\u00e1k, hogy a glob\u00e1lis felmeleged\u00e9s \u00fcteme csaknem megdupl\u00e1z\u00f3dott, \u00e9s 2030-ra ak\u00e1r t\u00fal is l\u00e9pheti a P\u00e1rizsi Meg\u00e1llapod\u00e1sban foglalt hat\u00e1r\u00e9rt\u00e9ket. Egy \u00faj tanulm\u00e1ny szerint az emberis\u00e9g rekord\u00fctem\u0171re gyors\u00edtotta fel a bolyg\u00f3 felmeleged\u00e9s\u00e9t. A tud\u00f3sok becsl\u00e9se szerint a glob\u00e1lis h\u0151m\u00e9rs\u00e9klet jelenleg \u00e9vtizedenk\u00e9nt k\u00f6r\u00fclbel\u00fcl 0,35\u00b0C-kal emelkedik \u2013 ez majdnem k\u00e9tszer olyan gyors, mint az el\u0151z\u0151 \u00e9vtizedekben.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">A munk\u00e1t a Potsdami Kl\u00edmav\u00e1ltoz\u00e1si Int\u00e9zet kutat\u00f3i v\u00e9gezt\u00e9k, akik \u00f6t f\u0151 glob\u00e1lis h\u0151m\u00e9rs\u00e9kleti adatsort elemeztek. A pontosabb k\u00e9p \u00e9rdek\u00e9ben egy speci\u00e1lis m\u00f3dszert alkalmaztak, amely kisz\u0171ri a term\u00e9szetes ingadoz\u00e1sok \u2013 bele\u00e9rtve a naptev\u00e9kenys\u00e9get, a vulk\u00e1nkit\u00f6r\u00e9seket \u00e9s az El Ni\u00f1o \u00e9ghajlati jelens\u00e9get \u2013 hat\u00e1s\u00e1t. Az eredm\u00e9nyek azt mutatt\u00e1k, hogy 1970 \u00e9s 2015 k\u00f6z\u00f6tt a bolyg\u00f3 egyenletes \u00fctemben melegedett \u2013 kevesebb mint 0,2\u00b0C-kal \u00e9vtizedenk\u00e9nt. 2013 \u00e9s 2014 k\u00f6z\u00f6tt azonban a felmeleged\u00e9s \u00fcteme meredeken felgyorsult, \u00e9s az elm\u00falt \u00e9vtizedben el\u00e9rte a k\u00f6r\u00fclbel\u00fcl 0,35\u00b0C-ot \u00e9vtizedenk\u00e9nt. Ez a legmagasabb ar\u00e1ny a F\u00f6ld\u00f6n 1880-ban megkezdett szisztematikus h\u0151m\u00e9rs\u00e9kletm\u00e9r\u00e9s \u00f3ta.<\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"610\" height=\"385\" src=\"https:\/\/life.karpat.in.ua\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/4389810.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-275310\" srcset=\"https:\/\/life.karpat.in.ua\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/4389810.jpg 610w, https:\/\/life.karpat.in.ua\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/4389810-300x189.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 610px) 100vw, 610px\" \/><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Stefan Rahmstorf klimatol\u00f3gus, a tanulm\u00e1ny egyik szerz\u0151je arra figyelmeztetett, hogy ha a jelenlegi \u00fctem folytat\u00f3dik, a vil\u00e1g 2030-ra k\u00f6vetkezetesen t\u00fall\u00e9pheti a P\u00e1rizsi Meg\u00e1llapod\u00e1s \u00e1ltal meghat\u00e1rozott 1,5\u00b0C-os felmeleged\u00e9si hat\u00e1r\u00e9rt\u00e9ket. A tud\u00f3sok becsl\u00e9se szerint a bolyg\u00f3 \u00e1tlagh\u0151m\u00e9rs\u00e9klete m\u00e1r k\u00f6r\u00fclbel\u00fcl 1,4\u00b0C-kal emelkedett az iparosod\u00e1s el\u0151tti id\u0151k \u00f3ta. A felmeleged\u00e9st nemcsak az \u00fcvegh\u00e1zhat\u00e1s\u00fa g\u00e1zok kibocs\u00e1t\u00e1sa, hanem a l\u00e9gk\u00f6rben l\u00e9v\u0151 k\u00e9ntartalm\u00fa aeroszolok mennyis\u00e9g\u00e9nek cs\u00f6kken\u00e9se is okozza, amelyek kor\u00e1bban r\u00e9szben h\u0171t\u00f6tt\u00e9k a bolyg\u00f3t.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">A Copernicus \u00c9ghajlatv\u00e1ltoz\u00e1si Szolg\u00e1lat \u00e1ltal el\u0151k\u00e9sz\u00edtett adathalmaz azt sugallja, hogy a jelenlegi \u00fctem mellett a vil\u00e1g m\u00e1r id\u00e9n \u00e1tl\u00e9pheti az 1,5\u00b0C-os hat\u00e1rt. M\u00e1s forr\u00e1sok szerint ez 2028-2029-ben fog bek\u00f6vetkezni.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">A tud\u00f3sok arra figyelmeztetnek, hogy a tov\u00e1bbi h\u0151m\u00e9rs\u00e9klet-emelked\u00e9s jelent\u0151sen cs\u00f6kkentheti a felmeleged\u00e9s 2\u00b0C alatt tart\u00e1s\u00e1nak es\u00e9ly\u00e9t. Az ilyen v\u00e1ltoz\u00e1sok n\u00f6velik a vesz\u00e9lyes \u00e9ghajlati \u201efordul\u00f3pontok\u201d kiv\u00e1lt\u00e1s\u00e1nak kock\u00e1zat\u00e1t, amelyek hossz\u00fa t\u00e1v\u00fa \u00e9s nagym\u00e9rt\u00e9k\u0171 v\u00e1ltoz\u00e1sokat okozhatnak a term\u00e9szeti rendszerekben.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">A Meteorol\u00f3giai Vil\u00e1gszervezet adatai szerint az elm\u00falt h\u00e1rom \u00e9v volt a feljegyz\u00e9sek szerint a legmelegebb, mik\u00f6zben az \u00fcvegh\u00e1zhat\u00e1s\u00fa g\u00e1zok kibocs\u00e1t\u00e1sa folyamatosan n\u00f6vekszik, \u00e9s a term\u00e9szetes sz\u00e9n-dioxid-elnyel\u0151k fokozatosan elvesz\u00edthetik hat\u00e9konys\u00e1gukat.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">&lt;!&#8211;translatorid:ild5234 &#8211;&gt;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Tud\u00f3sok meg\u00e1llap\u00edtott\u00e1k, hogy a glob\u00e1lis felmeleged\u00e9s \u00fcteme csaknem megdupl\u00e1z\u00f3dott, \u00e9s 2030-ra ak\u00e1r t\u00fal is l\u00e9pheti a P\u00e1rizsi Meg\u00e1llapod\u00e1sban foglalt hat\u00e1r\u00e9rt\u00e9ket. <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":12,"featured_media":275310,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[41,11,592,39],"tags":[1746],"class_list":["post-275464","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-cikkek","category-kiemelt-tema","category-tarsadalom","category-vilag","tag-globalis-felmelegedes"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/life.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/275464","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/life.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/life.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/life.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/12"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/life.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=275464"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/life.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/275464\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":275465,"href":"https:\/\/life.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/275464\/revisions\/275465"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/life.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/275310"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/life.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=275464"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/life.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=275464"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/life.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=275464"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}