{"id":29882,"date":"2020-09-19T21:45:00","date_gmt":"2020-09-19T18:45:00","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/life.karpat.in.ua\/?p=29882"},"modified":"2020-09-18T23:55:48","modified_gmt":"2020-09-18T20:55:48","slug":"szuperszamitogep-epul-megvaltozhat-europa-jovoje","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/life.karpat.in.ua\/?p=29882&lang=hu","title":{"rendered":"Modellezt\u00e9k tud\u00f3sok, hogyan terjednek a v\u00edrusok \u00e1llatr\u00f3l emberre"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"800\" height=\"370\" src=\"http:\/\/life.karpat.in.ua\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/denever.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-29883\" srcset=\"https:\/\/life.karpat.in.ua\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/denever.jpg 800w, https:\/\/life.karpat.in.ua\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/denever-300x139.jpg 300w, https:\/\/life.karpat.in.ua\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/denever-768x355.jpg 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 800px) 100vw, 800px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Kutat\u00f3k egy csoportja egy szabadon hozz\u00e1f\u00e9rhet\u0151 atlasszal el\u0151zn\u00e9 meg egy k\u00f6vetkez\u0151 vil\u00e1gj\u00e1rv\u00e1ny kit\u00f6r\u00e9s\u00e9t.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Mostanra k\u00f6ztudott, hogy a term\u00e9szet puszt\u00edt\u00e1sa \u00e9s az \u00e1llatokr\u00f3l emberre terjed\u0151, zoon\u00f3zisos megbeteged\u00e9sek megjelen\u00e9se k\u00e9z a k\u00e9zben j\u00e1r. R\u00e1ad\u00e1sul min\u00e9l ink\u00e1bb pusztul egy \u00e1llatfaj term\u00e9szetes \u00e9l\u0151helye, ann\u00e1l nagyobb az es\u00e9lye, hogy emberre vesz\u00e9lyes v\u00edrust terjeszthet.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Az ebola egy kong\u00f3i erd\u0151ben bukkant fel el\u0151sz\u00f6r, majd h\u00e9t m\u00e1sik afrikai orsz\u00e1gra is kiterjedt \u2013 t\u00f6bb ezer m\u00e9rf\u00f6lddel t\u00e1volabb. M\u00e1skor egy es\u0151erd\u0151b\u0151l indulnak ki, majd \u00e9vekre elt\u0171nnek a v\u00edrusok, de egy v\u00e1rosban is fel\u00fctheti a fej\u00e9t, ami azonnali reakci\u00f3t k\u00f6vetel meg a korm\u00e1nyokt\u00f3l.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u201eHa azonban a megfelel\u0151 adatok a rendelkez\u00e9s\u00fcnkre \u00e1llnak, a h\u00edrhedt zoon\u00f3zisos megbeteged\u00e9sek el\u00e9gg\u00e9 megj\u00f3solhat\u00f3ak\u201d \u2013 nyilatkozta David Redding, a londoni ZSL zool\u00f3gia int\u00e9zet kutat\u00f3ja a Guardiannek.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Redding \u00e9s egy megbeteged\u00e9s-\u00f6kol\u00f3gus szak\u00e9rt\u0151kb\u0151l \u00e1ll\u00f3 csapat egy olyan sz\u00e1m\u00edt\u00f3g\u00e9pes modellt dolgozott ki, amelybe a k\u00f6rnyezeti \u00e9s t\u00e1rsadalmi v\u00e1ltoz\u00e1sokat \u2013 az erd\u0151irt\u00e1sokat, a v\u00e1rosok terjed\u00e9s\u00e9t, a v\u00edrust hordoz\u00f3 \u00e1llat mozg\u00e1s\u00e1t, a kl\u00edma-, \u00e9s a h\u0151m\u00e9rs\u00e9kletv\u00e1ltoz\u00e1st, es\u0151z\u00e9seket \u00e9s a k\u00f6zleked\u00e9st \u2013 is belefoglalt\u00e1k, hogy megj\u00f3solj\u00e1k egy k\u00f6vetkez\u0151 vil\u00e1gj\u00e1rv\u00e1ny kit\u00f6r\u00e9s\u00e9t. A modellj\u00fck a legut\u00f3bbi h\u00e1rom ilyen vil\u00e1gj\u00e1rv\u00e1ny kit\u00f6r\u00e9s\u00e9t pontosan meghat\u00e1rozta a bevitt adatok alapj\u00e1n.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">A t\u00e9rk\u00e9p\u00fck alapj\u00e1n m\u00e1r most \u00fagy l\u00e1tj\u00e1k, hogy t\u00f6bb helyen \u00fajb\u00f3l megjelenik az ebola. \u201eAz id\u0151j\u00e1r\u00e1s \u00e9s az \u00e9l\u0151helyek k\u00f6r\u00fclm\u00e9nyei alkalmasak arra, hogy megj\u00f3soljuk, egy-egy gazda\u00e1llat, ami p\u00e9ld\u00e1ul mag\u00e1ban hordozza az ebol\u00e1t, potenci\u00e1lisan hol \u00e9rintkezhet emberekkel\u201d \u2013 magyar\u00e1zta Kate Jones, aki szerint t\u00f6bb mint 200 betegs\u00e9g terjed\u00e9se prognosztiz\u00e1lhat\u00f3 modellj\u00fckkel.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u201eEgy olyan f\u00e1zisban vagyunk most a v\u00edrusokkal kapcsolatban, mint az id\u0151j\u00e1r\u00e1s-el\u0151rejelz\u00e9s 50 \u00e9vvel ezel\u0151tt. Van n\u00e9h\u00e1ny adatunk, de t\u00f6bbre van sz\u00fcks\u00e9g, \u00e9s k\u00fcl\u00f6nb\u00f6z\u0151 modellekre is. Csak 4500 k\u00fcl\u00f6nb\u00f6z\u0151 koronav\u00edrus van. Ezeket mind dokument\u00e1lni kell, erre pedig k\u00e9pesek vagyunk\u201d \u2013 tette hozz\u00e1 a szak\u00e9rt\u0151.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Forr\u00e1s: hvg<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Kutat\u00f3k egy csoportja egy szabadon hozz\u00e1f\u00e9rhet\u0151 atlasszal el\u0151zn\u00e9 meg egy k\u00f6vetkez\u0151 vil\u00e1gj\u00e1rv\u00e1ny kit\u00f6r\u00e9s\u00e9t.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":29883,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[41,594,49,592,598,39],"tags":[1372,12122,10010],"class_list":["post-29882","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-cikkek","category-egeszseg","category-hirek","category-tarsadalom","category-tudomany","category-vilag","tag-allatok","tag-megbetegedesek","tag-tudomanyos-fejlesztes"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/life.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/29882","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/life.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/life.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/life.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/4"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/life.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=29882"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/life.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/29882\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/life.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/29883"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/life.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=29882"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/life.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=29882"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/life.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=29882"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}