{"id":34585,"date":"2020-10-29T21:21:19","date_gmt":"2020-10-29T19:21:19","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/life.karpat.in.ua\/?p=34585"},"modified":"2020-10-29T19:27:17","modified_gmt":"2020-10-29T17:27:17","slug":"mi-var-az-emberisegre-a-kozeljovoben","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/life.karpat.in.ua\/?p=34585&lang=hu","title":{"rendered":"Mi v\u00e1r az emberis\u00e9gre a k\u00f6zelj\u00f6v\u0151ben?"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>A koronav\u00edrus j\u00e1rv\u00e1ny ellen\u00e9re az emberis\u00e9g tov\u00e1bbra is fejl\u0151dik. Term\u00e9szetesen a hat\u00e1sa \u00e9rezhet\u0151, de szak\u00e9rt\u0151k szerint ez a j\u00e1rv\u00e1ny nem az els\u0151, \u00e9s term\u00e9szetesen messze nem az utols\u00f3. Teh\u00e1t hova tartunk? Mint kider\u00fclt, nemr\u00e9giben a Nemzetk\u00f6zi J\u00f6v\u0151\u00fcgyi Bizotts\u00e1g a Covid-19 mellett t\u00edz, az emberis\u00e9get fenyeget\u0151 lehets\u00e9ges katasztr\u00f3f\u00e1t hat\u00e1rozott meg.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"850\" height=\"565\" src=\"http:\/\/life.karpat.in.ua\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/0-19.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-34558\" srcset=\"https:\/\/life.karpat.in.ua\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/0-19.jpg 850w, https:\/\/life.karpat.in.ua\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/0-19-300x199.jpg 300w, https:\/\/life.karpat.in.ua\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/0-19-768x510.jpg 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 850px) 100vw, 850px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">B\u00e1r ezek a potenci\u00e1lis fenyeget\u00e9sek elszigeteltnek t\u0171nhetnek, \u00e9s nem \u00e9rintik egyidej\u0171leg az eg\u00e9sz emberis\u00e9get, a val\u00f3s\u00e1gban egym\u00e1ssal \u00f6sszef\u00fcgg\u0151 r\u00e9szek. Teh\u00e1t mi is v\u00e1r r\u00e1nk:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\"><li>term\u00e9szeti tartal\u00e9kok, k\u00fcl\u00f6n\u00f6sen a v\u00edz cs\u00f6kken\u00e9se;<\/li><li>az \u00f6kosziszt\u00e9m\u00e1k \u00f6sszeoml\u00e1sa \u00e9s a biol\u00f3giai sokf\u00e9les\u00e9g cs\u00f6kken\u00e9se;<\/li><li>lakoss\u00e1g n\u00f6veked\u00e9se, amely nem lesz \u00f6sszhangban a bolyg\u00f3 megl\u00e9v\u0151 tartal\u00e9kaival;<\/li><li>glob\u00e1lis felmeleged\u00e9s \u00e9s antropog\u00e9n kl\u00edmav\u00e1ltoz\u00e1s;<\/li><li>a bolyg\u00f3, az \u00f3ce\u00e1nok \u00e9s a l\u00e9gk\u00f6r vegyi szennyezetts\u00e9ge;<\/li><li>az \u00e9lelmiszerhi\u00e1ny, az \u00e9tkez\u00e9s min\u0151s\u00e9g\u00e9nek roml\u00e1sa;<\/li><li>nukle\u00e1ris fegyverek \u00e9s m\u00e1s, t\u00f6megpuszt\u00edt\u00f3 fegyverek sz\u00e1m\u00e1nak n\u00f6veked\u00e9se;<\/li><li>\u00faj, ellen\u0151rizetlen technol\u00f3gi\u00e1k megjelen\u00e9se, nemzeti \u00e9s glob\u00e1lis f\u00e9lre\u00e9rt\u00e9sek, megel\u0151z\u0151 int\u00e9zked\u00e9sek elfogad\u00e1sa ezekkel a kock\u00e1zatokkal kapcsolatban;<\/li><li>\u00faj, gy\u00f3gy\u00edthatatlan betegs\u00e9g megjelen\u00e9se.<\/li><\/ul>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"728\" height=\"462\" src=\"http:\/\/life.karpat.in.ua\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/4-66.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-34559\" srcset=\"https:\/\/life.karpat.in.ua\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/4-66.jpg 728w, https:\/\/life.karpat.in.ua\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/4-66-300x190.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 728px) 100vw, 728px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Sz\u00e1mos szak\u00e9rt\u0151 \u2013 futurist\u00e1k, politol\u00f3gusok, m\u00e9rn\u00f6k\u00f6k, informatikai szakemberek, demogr\u00e1fusok \u00e9s k\u00f6zgazd\u00e1szok szerint a k\u00f6zelj\u00f6v\u0151ben az al\u00e1bbi v\u00e1ltoz\u00e1sok v\u00e1rhat\u00f3ak:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ol class=\"wp-block-list\"><li>A F\u00f6ld lakoss\u00e1ga 2057-ben 10 milli\u00e1rd lesz.<\/li><li>2100-re az emberis\u00e9g \u00e1tlag\u00e9letkora 41,9 \u00e9v lesz.<\/li><li>Az agytumor a 2080-as \u00e9vek k\u00f6zep\u00e9ig 100%-an \u00f6t\u00e9ves kezel\u00e9ssel t\u00fal\u00e9lhet\u0151 lesz.<\/li><li>2100-ra az emberek \u00e1tlagosan heti 20 \u00f3r\u00e1n\u00e1l kevesebb dolgoznak.<\/li><li>Vil\u00e1gszerte 100 \u00e9s 800 milli\u00f3 k\u00f6z\u00f6tti munkahely lesz automatiz\u00e1lva 2030-ig.<\/li><li>Jeanne Kalman francia n\u0151 122 \u00e9vet \u00e9s 164 napot \u00e9lt \u2013 a legid\u0151sebb ember a F\u00f6ld\u00f6n, \u00e9s az egyetlen, aki hivatalosan t\u00fall\u00e9pte a 120 \u00e9ves hat\u00e1rt. 2100-ig azonban Madame Kalman rekordja t\u00f6bbsz\u00f6r is megd\u0151l.<\/li><li>A gy\u00e1rt\u00e1si \u00e1gazatokban 57 szakma t\u0171nik el 2030-ra a \u201erobotiz\u00e1ci\u00f3\u201d eredm\u00e9nyek\u00e9nt, hely\u00fcket 180, alapvet\u0151en \u00faj szakma v\u00e1ltja fel.<\/li><li>2034-ig 1 milli\u00e1rd szerviz-robot jelenik meg (szem\u00e9lyes haszn\u00e1latra \u00e9s a szolg\u00e1ltat\u00e1si \u00e1gazatban) \u2013 ez t\u00edz-szerese annak, amennyi most van.<\/li><li>10 doll\u00e1r-billi\u00f3kkal rendelkez\u0151 ker\u00fcl be a Forbes list\u00e1j\u00e1ra a 2070-es \u00e9vek elej\u00e9n.<\/li><li>180%-al, vagyis h\u00e1romszoros\u00e1ra n\u0151 a vil\u00e1g minden t\u00e1j\u00e1n a k\u00f6z\u00e9poszt\u00e1lyba tartoz\u00f3 emberek sz\u00e1ma (2040-ig).<\/li><li>A glob\u00e1lis crowdfunding piac 2025-re el\u00e9ri a 100 milli\u00e1rd doll\u00e1rt. Crowdfunding \u2013 k\u00f6z\u00f6ss\u00e9gi finansz\u00edroz\u00e1s, el\u0151leg felv\u00e9tele term\u00e9kre vagy szolg\u00e1ltat\u00e1sra egy online oldal seg\u00edts\u00e9g\u00e9vel.<\/li><li>Az Egyes\u00fclt \u00c1llamok eg\u00e9sz ter\u00fclet\u00e9n a jelenleg m\u0171k\u00f6d\u0151 bev\u00e1s\u00e1rl\u00f3k\u00f6zpontok 50%-a 2030-ig bez\u00e1r az online kereskedelem fejl\u0151d\u00e9se \u00e9s az \u00faj gener\u00e1ci\u00f3 viselked\u00e9si modellj\u00e9nek v\u00e1ltoz\u00e1sai miatt. Hasonl\u00f3 folyamatok zajlanak le a vil\u00e1g sz\u00e1mos m\u00e1s orsz\u00e1g\u00e1ban is.<\/li><li>2058-is 1 milli\u00e1rd emberi agynak felel majd meg a f\u00f6ld leger\u0151sebb szupersz\u00e1m\u00edt\u00f3g\u00e9p\u00e9nek termel\u00e9kenys\u00e9ge.<\/li><li>A 2068-as \u00e9v t\u00f6rt\u00e9nelmet \u00edrhat \u2013 stabil kereslet mellett a F\u00f6ld\u00f6n elfogyhat a jelenleg ismert \u00f6sszes olajk\u00e9szlet.<\/li><\/ol>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Teh\u00e1t csak annyit kell tenn\u00fcnk, hogy vigy\u00e1zzunk az eg\u00e9szs\u00e9g\u00fcnkre \u00e9s megv\u00e1rjuk ezeket a v\u00e1ltoz\u00e1sokat\u2026<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-right wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>NEWSMAKER<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><a>&lt;!&#8211;translatorid:ild5234 &#8211;&gt;<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>A koronav\u00edrus j\u00e1rv\u00e1ny ellen\u00e9re az emberis\u00e9g tov\u00e1bbra is fejl\u0151dik. Term\u00e9szetesen a hat\u00e1sa \u00e9rezhet\u0151, de szak\u00e9rt\u0151k szerint ez a j\u00e1rv\u00e1ny nem az els\u0151, \u00e9s term\u00e9szetesen messze nem az utols\u00f3.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":12,"featured_media":34558,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[41,594,592,598,39],"tags":[24877,24876,24878],"class_list":["post-34585","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-cikkek","category-egeszseg","category-tarsadalom","category-tudomany","category-vilag","tag-fertozesek","tag-jovo","tag-veszelyek"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/life.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/34585","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/life.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/life.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/life.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/12"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/life.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=34585"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/life.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/34585\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/life.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/34558"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/life.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=34585"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/life.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=34585"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/life.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=34585"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}